Paraná Pesquisas publishes 1st electoral survey for the Municipality of Aracaju

The Instituto Paraná Pesquisas released this Thursday (15) the first survey that determines the electoral race for mayor of Aracaju, in Sergipe, in 2024. There are three scenarios evaluated in which the current mayor, Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT), does not run for election already in his second consecutive term.

The survey points out that the candidate for senator in the state last year, Delegate Danielle Garcia (Podemos), leads the three scenarios determined, two of them with more than 30% of the votes and the third with a smaller advantage over the runner-up, councilwoman Emília Corrêa (Patriot).

Former governor Belivaldo Chagas (PSD) would not pass to the second round in one of the scenarios established by the institute. The current vice-governor, Eliane Aquino (PT), would also not advance in the election according to Aracaju voters.

The survey also revealed that the current mayor has the administration approved by 66.4% of voters. Altogether, Paraná Pesquisas interviewed 657 people in person between the 3rd and 7th of June, with a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.

See below the three scenarios determined by Instituto Paraná Pesquisas for the 2024 election to the mayoralty of Aracaju:

Scenario 1, with former governor Belivaldo Chagas:

• Delegate Danielle Garcia (Podemos): 32.3%;
• Emília Corrêa (Patriot): 23.9%;
• Fabiano Oliveira (PP): 8.7%;
• Belivaldo Chagas (PSD): 8.2%;
• Márcio Macêdo (PT): 4.6%;
• Waneska Barboza (without party): 0.9%;
• None/blank/null: 16%;
• Does not know/did not answer: 5.5%.

Scenario 2, with Lieutenant Governor Eliane Aquino:

• Delegate Danielle Garcia (Podemos): 31.2%;
• Emília Corrêa (Patriot): 23.3%;
• Eliane Aquino (PT): 12.3%;
• Fabiano Oliveira (PP): 8.2%;
• Niltinho Vitale (PSD): 2.9%;
• Luiz Roberto (PDT): 2.1%;
• None/blank/null: 14%;
• Don’t know/did not answer: 5.9%.

Scenario 3, with Senator Rogério Carvalho:

• Delegate Danielle Garcia (Podemos): 26.3%;
• Emília Corrêa (Patriot): 22.4%;
• Delegate Katarina Feitoza (PSD): 13.4%;
• Rogério Carvalho (PT): 8.5%;
• Fabiano Oliveira (PP): 8.1%;
• Garibalde Mendonça (PDT): 1.8%;
• None/blank/null: 13.9%;
• Does not know/did not answer: 5.6%.

Methodology

Paraná Pesquisas interviewed 657 voters in the municipality of Aracaju in person, between June 3 and 7, 2023. The margin of error is 3.9 percentage points, and the confidence interval is 95%. The survey is not registered with the TRE-SE (Regional Electoral Court of Sergipe). Electoral law requires registration only for polls published in the election year. The complete survey report is available in PDF at this link.