Egg prices are at the lowest price in 2 years on the domestic market and avian influenza boosts exports, points out Cepea-USP

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Research by Cepea, in Piracicaba (SP), shows the value of the food has already been on a downward trend since 2023. The downward movement is now the result of the greater supply of the product internally and the weakening of sales. Egg prices fell in September Reproduction/Bom Dia Brasil Egg prices registered new drops at the beginning of January 2024 and reached the lowest price in two years in the domestic market, according to a survey by the Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics (Cepea ) from the campus of the University of São Paulo (USP), in Piracicaba (SP), released this Monday (15). On the other hand, the export scenario, however, is boosted. – 👇Read more below. 📲 Receive news from the Piracicaba region on WhatsApp In the domestic market, these are the lowest prices since January 2022, and according to Cepea researchers, the downward movement is the result of the greater supply of the product internally and the weakening of sales. The negative variation reaches 3.26% between the values ​​of red eggs and 1.14% between the prices of white eggs in the regions monitored by Cepea on January 12th. Price Commercial eggs/ Box with 30 dozen Bird flu and exports As for exports, Brazilian shipments of eggs, including fresh and processed products, totaled 25.4 thousand tons last year. The increase in food vessels is the result of the impacts caused by the avian influenza, as highlighted by Cepea. “The quantity is almost three times greater than the total sold in 2022 and the highest in eleven years, according to data from Secex. This increase in foreign sales is mainly a reflection of cases of Avian Influenza that affected commercial flocks in several countries, causing that part of the international demand would be redirected to Brazil”, points out the research institute. High temperatures and low prices The heat wave, recorded in the last days of winter throughout the state of São Paulo and much of Brazil, directly impacted the production and sale of eggs in most markets monitored by Cepea in September 2023. Heat stress has led to the death of chickens. In Bastos (SP), in the interior of SP, producers consulted by the institute reported the death of up to 400 chickens per day during the period, according to Cepea. The trend is for improvement towards the beginning of October, highlights sector analyst. 👇Read more below. Why did the egg price fall in 2023? The combination of extremely hot weather, with maximum temperatures of 40ºC between the 23rd and 28th of September, and a slower market due to the weakened demand common in this period and abundant supply, caused prices, which were already on a downward trend, to retreat in up almost 8% within the month. Farm in Bastos produces 20% of all eggs consumed in Brazil TV TEM/Reproduction Perishable food As it is a perishable food, producers decided to give more discounts to be able to use up stocks. On September 14, the price of commercial eggs in a box of 30 dozen was R$145, according to Cepea’s quote. On the 28th, the value reached R$134, a reduction of 7.6%. “The strong heat wave that hits much of Brazil and the abundant supply led many producers to intensify discounts to sell the product, as high temperatures reduce the shelf life of eggs”, explained Cepea analyst for the sector, Juliana Ferraz. According to poultry farmers consulted, the market has been quite slow in recent days, which also ended up increasing stocks. “On the purchasing side, agents put pressure on protein values, based on the smaller size and shelf life of the product,” she added. Egg prices register a drop after heat wave Claudia Assencio/g1 Trend According to the expert, the outlook is for an improvement in the egg market scenario for the first days of October. The supply and demand relationship should also be different. “There may even be an increase at the beginning of October, which is when demand tends to grow. The majority of the population receives it at the beginning of the month, so there may be this movement towards improvement. Some producers reported that they lost water”, he pointed out. Mortality increased during this period for some producers. “Some of them, mainly in the Bastos region, lost around 400 chickens a day”, she explained. Juliana highlights that not all producers consulted by Cepea are impacted by the heat wave. “Many have air-conditioned warehouses,” she pondered. Atypical drop in winter The commercial value of eggs, which had already registered a downward trend, continued to decline in the last quarter, even in winter. Prices fell by up to 23.5% between June and August. Heat waves tend to affect more production in the summer. The scenario of high temperatures that cause thermal stress that causes birds to eat less and lay smaller eggs, impacting the choice of product. VIDEOS: everything about Piracicaba and the region See more news from the region on g1 Piracicaba

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