Michelle Bolsonaro leads research in possible dispute for Moro’s seat

The former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) was named by voters in Paraná as the favorite in a possible dispute for the position of Sergio Moro (Union) if the former Lava Jato judge has his mandate revoked by the Electoral Court. Even without having a voting domicile in Paraná, Michelle was the most cited in several scenarios in a survey carried out by Paraná Pesquisas and published this Thursday (26).

The survey was carried out with 1,556 voters from 72 municipalities in Paraná between October 19th and 23rd. According to Paraná Pesquisas, the survey has a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.

Null, blank votes and undecided voters lead spontaneous poll

In the spontaneous survey, in which voters indicate their voting preference without any name being presented to them in advance, 83.8% of those interviewed were undecided. Null or blank votes amount to 7.9%. The name with the most citations is that of Sergio Moro himself, who would be prevented from participating in the new election for the Federal Senate precisely because he is the target of an action that calls for his impeachment and ineligibility, with 2.9% – such an election can only take place if he is impeached. Voting intentions were then indicated in Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) (1.3%); Alvaro Dias (We can) (1.1%); Paulo Martins (PL) (0.7%); Ratinho Junior (PSD) (0.6%); Roberto Requiao (PT) (0.6%); Deltan Dallagnol (New) (0.2%); Michelle Bolsonaro (0.2%); Beto Richa (PSDB) (0.1%); It is Ricardo Barros (PP) (0.1%).

Michelle Bolsonaro leads in all scenarios in which she appears as a candidate in the stimulated survey

In the first scenario of the stimulated survey, in which the names are presented to the interviewees in advance, Michelle Bolsonaro appears with 35.7% of voting intentions. Next comes Alvaro Dias, with 24.4%; Gleisi Hoffmann, with 16.2%; Rosangela Moro (União), which, like Michelle, also does not have a voting domicile in Paraná, with 7.4%; Ricardo Barros, with 4.9%; It is Sergio Sousa (MDB), with 1.5%. Of those interviewed, 6.2% would vote blank or null, and 3.7% did not know how to answer.

In a new scenario, without the presence of the federal deputy for União Brasil de São Paulo and wife of Sergio Moro, Michelle Bolsonaro increases the lead to 39.3%. Alvaro Dias remains in second, with 26%, followed by Gleisi Hoffmann, with 16.5%. Ricardo Barros (5.3%) and Sergio Sousa (1.7%) complete the list. Blank and invalid votes total 6.9% and undecided votes total 4.2%.

In the third scenario, without Rosangela Moro and without former senator Alvaro Dias, Michelle Bolsonaro now has 44.3% of voting intentions. Gleisi Hoffmann (21.8%), Ricardo Barros (11.5%) and Sergio Sousa (2.6%) complete the survey. With these names available, voters who indicated a blank or null vote totaled 13.8%. Those who are undecided correspond to 5.9% of those interviewed.

Without Michelle Bolsonaro and Rosangela Moro, leadership passes to Alvaro Dias

Alvaro Dias leads the survey without Michelle Bolsonaro and with Rosangela Moro, with 29.8% of voting intentions. Sergio Moro’s wife comes next, with 17.9%, followed by Gleisi Hoffmann (16.1%); Paulo Martins (11.3%); Ricardo Barros (7%); and Sergio Sousa (1.7%) – 4.8% of those interviewed were undecided, and 11.4% would vote null or blank.

The former governor of Paraná also appears in first place in the scenario in which Michelle Bolsonaro and Rosangela Moro are not on the list of names, with 34.4%. Again in second place, Gleisi Hoffmann appears with 16.7% of voting intentions. Next, the names of Paulo Martins (14.3%), Ricardo Barros (9.1%) and Sergio Sousa (2.1%) complete the list. Respondents who did not know or did not respond to the survey totaled 5.8%, and those who would vote blank or null were 17.6%.

Gleisi Hoffmann leads in a scenario without Michelle Bolsonaro, Alvaro Dias and Rosangela Moro, but loses to null and blank votes

In the last scenario evaluated by Paraná Pesquisas, without Michelle Bolsonaro, Rosangela Moro and Alvaro Dias, the leadership was Gleisi Hoffmann, with 22.3%. Paulo Martins (18.8%), Ricardo Barros (17.4%) and Sergio Sousa (3.5%) complete the list, which also showed 8.6% of undecided voters and 29.4% of invalid or invalid votes. white – higher rate than the number of possible votes for the PT president.

“Michelle has no interest in this Paraná business”, says PL president

In an interview with the Poder360 portal, the president of the PL, Valdemar Costa Neto, said that Michelle was “happy” with the results of the research, but that she will not be a candidate for the Senate in Paraná. “Michelle commented to me the other day, without me asking, that she has no interest in this Paraná business. She is super dedicated to PL Mulher. Of course, she must be super happy, but she would have this prestige anywhere in the country”, said Costa Neto.