Datafolha: What lulists and Bolsonarists think – 7/2/2023 – Politics

Voters of President Lula (PT) and former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) agree when asked about topics such as the link between politics and religious values, homosexuality and benefits to criminals. They disagree on the possibility of the country becoming communist and the right to have guns.

Some themes divide the two audiences, such as abortion and the possible benefits brought by the Brazilian military dictatorship, which took place between 1964 and 1985 and which Bolsonaro is nostalgic for.

This is what reports the Datafolha survey carried out from June 12 to 14 with 2010 respondents in 112 cities across the country, registering a margin of error of two percentage points, more or less.

Likewise in relation to the general results, there is support among lulists for flags considered conservative, and among Bolsonarists, there is an outlet for agendas seen as progressive.

One of the themes that reflects this contradiction is the reception of LGBTQIA+ people – both Lula and Bolsonaro voters agree with the acceptance of homosexuality by the whole society, but support the formation of the family from a man and a woman.

In global statistics, involving all groups interviewed by the survey, 75% say they are in favor, totally or in part, of accepting homosexuality. A similar rate, 72%, agree with the idea that a family is only made up of a man and a woman.

Among retired army captain voters, 44% totally agree and 26% partially agree with accepting people with other sexuality, but 71% fully believe, and 13%, partially, that a family should be made up of people of different genders .

Among the voters of the current Chief Executive, the exclusively heterosexual family is still well accepted, despite greater divergence, with 27% totally disagreeing and 8% partially disagreeing with the idea.

Another subject that registered similarity in the positioning of the two groups is the link between politics and religion so that Brazil can prosper.

Target of intense debates in the electoral sphere, especially with the disputed vote of evangelicals, both PT voters and former president voters welcome the union between acting in the spaces of power and religious values.

46% of the current president’s voters totally agree with the link between politics and religiosity for the country’s development, and 24% totally disagree. Among Bolsonaristas, 51% are fully in favor of the idea, against 19% completely unfavorable.

The consideration of the amount of existing benefits for people arrested or convicted is another topic capable of showing the contradictions in the convergence between progressive and conservative agendas among the country’s electorate.

Datafolha asked if there is, in Brazil, a lot of stewardship for bandits, and the majority of lulistas and Bolsonaristas agree with the statement — 84% of Bolsonaro voters and 58% of Lula voters fully adhere to the idea.

The limits of freedom of expression on social networks divide the two groups.

Among all respondents, 61% say it is not possible to post anything on the networks, while 38% believe that the rule should be this. Considering bolsonaristas and lulistas, 54% and 66%, respectively, disagree with the unrestricted freedom of publication on the internet.

The theme gained relevance in the wake of the fake news inquiry at the STF (Federal Supreme Court) and with the past electoral campaign, when several profiles of politicians and personalities were suspended in order to avoid the dissemination of false news during the election.

Turning now to the issues that distance the two voter profiles, the risk of Brazil becoming a communist state is a concern among Bolsonaristas, while PT supporters do not believe in the hypothesis.

For 73% of the ex-president’s voters, there is a possibility that the country will leave the current model of capitalist production, with 51% totally agreeing, and 22%, partially. Among those who voted for Lula, however, the idea only resonates with 31% of respondents.

The former president explored the subject during his term and in his candidacy for re-election. Since taking office in 2019, Bolsonaro has stated that the national flag “will never be red”.

Lula’s behavior at the head of the Planalto prevents this “ghost” from reverberating in the country’s public scenario. The petista has already relativized criticism of several left-wing authoritarian regimes.

The most recent case is that of Venezuela, of Nicolás Maduro — the president said there are different visions of what democracy is, relativizing the authoritarian character of the regime. He also called the idea that there is a dictatorship in Caracas “narrative”.

Civil armament also opposes lulistas and bolsonaristas, in the wake of the political platforms of their candidates. While 61% of Lula’s voters are opposed to the right to own a gun, 67% of former president Jair Bolsonaro’s voters agree with the proposal.

While the former occupant of the Planalto defends the right to have weapons as a way of protecting himself, the current representative of the Republic rejects it, stating during the last campaign that he would “disarm the country”. Bolsonaro edited several decrees making access, carrying and inspection of items more flexible.

Now, the PT government is preparing a new decree regulating the use of weapons in the country, creating a program to buy back equipment for CACs (hunters, sport shooters and collectors), in addition to restricting the use of rifles and distancing the shooting club from schools. .

There are, finally, the topics that divided both lulistas and bolsonaristas, in the wake of the overall result released by Datafolha. One of them is the legalization of abortion beyond the situations already provided for by law.

Currently, termination of pregnancy is allowed in cases of rape, risk of death for the mother or anencephaly of the fetus.

PT voters are more in agreement with women’s right to choose when to have an abortion, with 54% adherence. Among Bolsonaristas, the majority is unfavorable to the idea, with 63% partially or totally refractory.

The discussion hovers over the electoral spectrum since redemocratization, and since then, there have been no sudden changes either in PT governments, so-called progressives, or in conservative administrations.

There is also division when both groups of voters are asked about the military dictatorship, from 1964 to 1985. Lulistas disagree more – 55% totally or partially oppose the idea that the authoritarian regime brought benefits to the country, compared to 40% of Bolsonaristas .