title chances and Libertadores after the 28th round

THE Brasileirão had your 28th round completed last Sunday (29). Positive highlights for Palmeiras and Fortaleza, who won and continue to fight fiercely for the competition title. Botafogo was tied and remains at the top of the table.

The dispute enters its final and most decisive phase, with fights for the title and places in the Libertadores promising a lot of excitement at the top of the table.

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Check out each club’s chances of winning the title, place in the Libertadores and Sudamericana below.

Statistical information is from the website Infobola, by mathematician Tristão Garcia. It is worth remembering that the following lists do not necessarily reflect the position of each club in the table, but rather their chances of achieving each objective.

Brasileirão 2024: title chances

Palmeiras: 44.38%
Botafogo: 40.50%
Fortaleza: 11.38%
Flamengo: 2.26%
São Paulo: 1%

Brasileirão 2024: Libertadores chances

Botafogo: 99%
Palm trees: 99%
Fortaleza: 98%
Flamengo: 86%
São Paulo: 77%
International: 61%
Bahia: 40%
Cruise: 26%

Brasileirão 2024: check the competition regulations

Series A of the 2024 Brazilian Championship maintained the usual straight points regulation. Continuously, 19 matches are valid for the first round and another 19 matches for the return, with all teams facing each other at home and away.

The champion will be the club that scores the most points at the end of these 38 rounds. On the other hand, the last four placed teams are relegated to Series B.

The classification for the continental competitions, Libertadores and South American, are determined by the position in the table at the end of the Brasileirão.

The top six places guarantee a place in the Libertadores, with only the four best guaranteeing a direct place in the group stage, while the other two need to go through the preliminary stage. This number of vacancies, however, may increase.

If a club obtains a place in the Libertadores 2025 by winning the Libertadores or the Sul-Americana 2024 and, in addition, also qualifying via the Brasileirão or Copa do Brasil, the number of places for Brazilian clubs in the Libertadores may increase, reaching up to eight places .

For the Sudamericana, the six best clubs in the Brasileirão are classified, excluding the teams already classified for the Libertadores.