Is Athletico at risk of relegation? See the math

Is Athletico at risk of relegation? See the math


THE Brazilian Series A Championship had your 28th round ended last Sunday (29), with the defeat of Athletico for Flamengo, 1-0, at Maracanã, in coach Lucho González’s debut in the Brasileirão dispute.

Despite the stumble, Furacão had its risk of relegation reduced from 11% to 10%, thanks to the results of its direct competitors. Rubro-Negro still has two games less than its main rivals in the fight against relegation.

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From now on, the dispute enters its final and most decisive phase, with fights for the title and places in the Libertadores promising a lot of excitement at the top of the table, but with the fight against relegation becoming dramatic at the opposite end of the table.

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At this moment, Corinthians, with 28 points; Fluminense, with 27 points; Cuiabá, with 23 points; and bottom team Atlético-GO, with 21 points, occupy the sticking area.

Check out the risks of relegation in Brasileirão 2024 below.

Statistical information is from the specialized portal, Infoballby mathematician Tristão García. It is worth remembering that the following lists do not necessarily reflect the position of each club in the Series A table, but rather their chances of achieving the objectives at the end of the dispute.

Brasileirão 2024: relegation risks

  • Atlético-GO: 96%
  • Cuiabá: 85%
  • Corinthians: 53%
  • Victory: 51%
  • Fluminense: 51%
  • Criciúma: 18%
  • Youth: 14%
  • Athletico: 10%
  • Bragantino: 9%
  • Grêmio: 8%
  • Vasco: 1%

Brasileirão 2024: check the competition regulations

Series A of the 2024 Brazilian Championship maintained the usual straight points regulation. Continuously, 19 matches are valid for the first round and another 19 matches for the return, with all teams facing each other at home and away.

The champion will be the club that scores the most points at the end of these 38 rounds. On the other hand, the last four placed teams are relegated to Series B.

The classification for the continental competitions, Libertadores and South American, are determined by the position in the table at the end of the Brasileirão.

The top six places guarantee a place in the Libertadores, with only the four best guaranteeing a direct place in the group stage, while the other two need to go through the preliminary stage. This number of vacancies, however, may increase.

If a club obtains a place in the Libertadores 2025 by winning the Libertadores or the Sul-Americana 2024 and, in addition, also qualifying via the Brasileirão or Copa do Brasil, the number of places for Brazilian clubs in the Libertadores may increase, reaching up to eight places .

For the Sudamericana, the six best clubs in the Brasileirão are classified, excluding the teams already classified for the Libertadores.

See also:

Is Athletico at risk of relegation? See the updated math

Brasileirão 2024: title chances and Libertadores after the 28th round

Brasileirão 2024: title chances and Libertadores after the 28th round

Flamengo fires Tite even after victory over Athletico

Flamengo fires Tite even after victory over Athletico

"sincere"Athletico midfielder opens the game and talks about the risk of falling

“Sincerão”, Athletico midfielder opens the game and talks about the risk of falling



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